Will Google CPA Eat CJ and Linkshare Alive?

by Scott Jangro on 21 March 2007

Major news came out of Google yesterday as they take the next step toward launching a CPA (Cost Per Action/Acquisition) advertising model. In short, this means instead of advertisers paying publishers for a click (susceptible to fraud), they’ll pay only when a predefined action takes place, like a product purchase or a user signup.

Dozens and dozens of blogs and news outlets covered this story yesterday, including the New York Times, which offers a pretty good overview. Debates are still raging about whether Google is getting into Affiliate Marketing or not.

What I found interesting was the TechCrunch writeup, where Michael Arrington predicted the death of the affiliate networks, essentially stating that Google with it’s vast network would suck the affiliate networks dry. He summed it up with a comment in response to another comment in that same post:

arrington-google-cpa.jpg

This tells me that either Michael doesn’t really understand affiliate marketing, or he thinks that Google has much, much more up their collective sleeves.

Of course most of us are yet to see what the new offering will look like, but there’s one key factor that keeps Google’s new offering far away from the Affiliate Marketing model: These are Ads.

Affiliate marketing involves traditional advertising methods like banner ads and text link ads but most of the really successful affiliates are not merely ad-pushing publishers. While there are plenty of affiliates who use affilaite marketing to show ads, the majority of top affiliate marketers form close partnersips and integrate with the merchants they promote. They use tools like promotions, coupons, and product data that get tightly integrated into the affiliate’s offering. They communicate with the merchants on IM, email and even the telephone. An example is a niche price comparison shopping engine. A single page on that site may have 20 different products from 15 different merchants, each with a “buy” link going through an affiliate network.

Google simply cannot service this with a double-blind, put-this-javascript-text-link-on-your-site, advertising model.

If they go anywhere close to servicing this affiliate marketing relationship that I’m describing, they shatter their hands-off, self-service, mass-market, advertiser-publisher model. This model works well for them, scales extremely well, and they have no reason to deviate for the sake of eating the affiliate networks or even their lunches.

Will this cut into some of the publishers that currently operate in affiliate networks? Definitely, but one could argue that Adsense already did that damage. There’s a 95-5 rule that’s talked about in Affiliate Marketing. 95% of the revenues are driven by 5% of the affiliates. This 5% of affiliates cannot be serviced by an “advertising” model.

Affiliate Marketing is not Advertising.

  • It's funny because I just saw this in my Google Account for the first time and thought it was new. But I guess it's been coming out since 2007. Crazy. I haven't done a ton in Adwords for a while though so I can see how that happens. I for one think given time Google will change the game of CPA like they have so much else. I also think it could change affiliate marketing to. Here's an article I wrote all about that model. Affiliate Marketing Business Model
  • Cris Macintosh
    Hey,

    I guess we'll we have seen the facts on that one haven't we? Anyway since Cpa is such a big deal nowadays it's kinda funny to see all the different ideas surrounding it.

    I found a great resource today with some quick to the point facts about Cpa & the various marketing methods to promote them. Commission Payload Review

    Although this guy's site is a review of a product there's some good content on it. I got the 52 page pdf they offer. Its Free.

    Keep up the good work okay, we love this stuff..!!

    Cris
  • You are exactly right. Affiliate marketing depends on the quality of relationships. Pay per click is focused just on quantity. Google will be operating well outside their business model trying to tackle affiliate marketing. And affiliate marketing fraud is 10 times more complicated than pay per click fraud. And Google couldn't even solve the pay per click fraud. There is no way Google can scale a business model in affiliate marketing. They will only be able to focus on a few top companies who want to try cost per action. The middle to small affiliates/companies won't be able to participate. Google needs to focus on quality and innovate their search technologies. Get back to their core business model.
  • Nope, didn't happen.
  • Scott
    >> froogle, comparison shopping widget.

    Even so, it's still advertising. You don't see Chitika, Auction Ads, and the like causing any stir with the affiliate networks. That's because they're for bloggers, content sites who can't monetize on their own by promoting specific products and services. Adsense is already serving this market, and the new offering will tap mostly into that group of publishers that they already own.
  • It's the data. I stand by that. That is all they want long term and I don't think networks are in immediate danger at all. AM doesn't scale very well, then again the value of adsense (due to mass approach) has been reduced to the point where the return isn't what it was. As long as they meet the numbers- they'll chug along using sheer mass.

    -wayne
  • Hey,

    Commission Payload is really going to take off and I'm excited about this launch, I was waiting for some course to come out about CPA marketing.
blog comments powered by Disqus